ChronoBloomCalendar & HolidaysOpen the calendar →

Guide

What “(tentative)” means on a holiday calendar

Short answer: the date is an estimate, because the holiday depends on a moon sighting or an official announcement that hasn’t happened yet.

What does (tentative) mean?

The date isn’t confirmed yet

The holiday follows a lunar or observation-based calendar, so its Gregorian date can’t be fixed in advance. Your calendar is showing its best estimate — expect it to move by up to a day or two.

Why some holidays can’t have a fixed date

Most public holidays sit on the Gregorian calendar and never move — Christmas is always 25 December. But a large share of the world’s holidays don’t work that way. Islamic holidays follow the Hijri calendar, whose months begin when the new crescent moon is actuallysighted. Because visibility depends on weather and geography, the exact Gregorian day isn’t known until close to the time, and two countries can legitimately observe the same holiday a day apart.

That’s why calendar feeds — including the ones inside Google Calendar, which is where most people first see the label — publish a computed estimate and mark it(tentative). It isn’t an error, and it isn’t a bug in your phone. It’s the calendar being honest that the date could still shift.

Which holidays usually carry the label

Mostly the Islamic observances: the Prophet’s Birthday (Mawlid / Milad un-Nabi), Eid al-Fitr, Eid al-Adha,Ramadan’s start, Ashura and Isra and Mi’raj. Some Hindu and Buddhist festivals that depend on lunar reckoning are flagged the same way, and so are a few national holidays whose date is set by proclamation each year.

Upcoming holidays currently marked tentative

Taken live from the same calendar feeds your phone uses. Each links to its full page with dates for every year.

Estimated dateHolidayCountry
Maulid Nabi Muhammad🇮🇩 Indonesia
The Prophet Muhammad's Birthday🇲🇾 Malaysia
Milad un-Nabi🇮🇳 India
Maulid un-Nabi🇵🇭 Philippines
Isra and Mi'raj🇲🇾 Malaysia
Lailatul Isra Wal Mi Raj🇵🇭 Philippines
Ramadan Start🇸🇬 Singapore
First Day of Ramadan🇲🇾 Malaysia
Ramadan Start🇵🇭 Philippines
Ramadan Start🇮🇳 India
Nuzul Al-Quran🇲🇾 Malaysia
Ramzan Id🇮🇳 India
Hari Raya Puasa🇸🇬 Singapore
Hari Raya Puasa🇲🇾 Malaysia
Eid al-Fitr🇵🇭 Philippines
Hari Raya Puasa Holiday Day 2🇲🇾 Malaysia
Day of Arafat🇲🇾 Malaysia
Bakrid🇮🇳 India
Hari Raya Haji🇸🇬 Singapore
Hari Raya Haji🇲🇾 Malaysia
Eid al-Adha🇵🇭 Philippines
Hari Raya Haji (Day 2)🇲🇾 Malaysia
Eid al-Adha Holiday🇵🇭 Philippines
Muharram🇲🇾 Malaysia
King's Birthday (Cocos and Keeling Islands)🇦🇺 Australia
Amun Jadid🇵🇭 Philippines
Muharram/Ashura🇮🇳 India

Frequently asked

What does (tentative) mean next to a holiday?

It means the date is provisional rather than confirmed. The holiday follows a lunar or observation-based calendar, so the exact day depends on a moon sighting or an official announcement that has not happened yet. The calendar shows its best estimate and flags it as tentative so you know it may shift.

Why is the Prophet’s Birthday marked (tentative)?

The Prophet’s Birthday (Mawlid, 12 Rabi al-Awwal) falls on the Islamic lunar calendar. Because each Hijri month begins with the sighting of the new crescent moon, the corresponding Gregorian date cannot be fixed far in advance and is confirmed by religious authorities closer to the time.

How much can a tentative date change?

Usually by one day, occasionally two. Moon sighting depends on local visibility, so neighbouring countries can observe the same holiday on different days.

When does a tentative date become final?

Typically days to a few weeks beforehand, when the relevant authority announces the sighting or publishes the official public-holiday date.

Should I book time off around a tentative date?

Treat it as a strong estimate, not a guarantee. It is fine for planning, but confirm against your government’s official holiday list before booking anything that cannot move.

Related